An Analysis of Five Chicago TIF Districts – EAV Compound Growth Rates

To examine the growth of the 5 TIF Districts included in our analysis, we calculated the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for each TIF District’s EAV based on the total base EAV of each TIF District and the TIF District’s total EAV in the year before the termination year (the most recent annual EAV data available).

Because the Central Loop, Chatham Ridge and Chinatown Basin TIF Districts were amended during their terms to include additional parcels, two CAGRs were calculated for each of these districts to eliminate any artificial increase in EAV due to the new parcels.

The following chart shows the beginning EAV, final EAV and CAGR for each TIF District’s analysis period:

TIF District

Analysis Period

Beginning EAV

Final EAV

CAGR

Central Loop

1984-1996

$54,537,921

$389,437,601

17.80%

1997-2007

$1,379,439,511

$3,184,101,518

8.72%

Chatham Ridge

1986-2000

$1,369,425

$21,613,200

21.78%

2001-2009

$24,357,066

$38,315,922

5.83%

Chinatown Basin

1986-1999

$199,790

$14,626,407

39.13%

2000-2009

$19,243,111

$68,073,215

15.07%

Ryan/Garfield

1986-2007

$166,083

$7,353,511

19.78%

West Ridge-Peterson

1986-2009

$1,617,926

$11,299,347

8.82%

In addition to calculating the CAGR for each TIF District, we also derived each TIF District’s year-over-year EAV growth to look for growth patterns among the TIF Districts. Based on this year-over-year analysis, the Central Loop, Chatham Ridge and Chinatown Basin TIF Districts experienced steady growth during their terms.  The Ryan/Garfield TIF District experienced rapid growth in the first few years and the final few years of its term. Growth in the West Ridge-Peterson TIF District was concentrated in the final few years.

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